Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.151847 0.172876 0.196186 0.224015 0.256431 0.293108 0.337910
2026-01-25 0.117812 0.145537 0.179273 0.223663 0.281012 0.353245 0.452126
2026-02-01 0.097583 0.127859 0.167284 0.223060 0.301019 0.407746 0.567747
2026-02-08 0.083310 0.114295 0.156861 0.220674 0.315770 0.455259 0.681083
2026-02-15 0.072673 0.103580 0.147977 0.217880 0.327940 0.499380 0.796498
2026-02-22 0.066345 0.097883 0.145064 0.222785 0.351586 0.563944 0.956860
2026-03-01 0.059373 0.090181 0.137884 0.219560 0.361051 0.606222 1.087017
2026-03-08 0.054279 0.084692 0.133316 0.219645 0.375612 0.659058 1.247240
2026-03-15 0.049942 0.079866 0.129133 0.219593 0.389568 0.712694 1.420501
2026-03-22 0.047068 0.077101 0.127993 0.224591 0.413353 0.788852 1.658135
2026-03-29 0.044275 0.074145 0.126126 0.227886 0.434178 0.862583 1.908402
2026-04-05 0.041709 0.071303 0.124102 0.230522 0.453937 0.937469 2.180417
2026-04-12 0.039721 0.069353 0.123589 0.236256 0.481576 1.036137 2.542429
2026-04-19 0.037278 0.066331 0.120751 0.236938 0.498509 1.114058 2.874439
2026-04-26 0.034959 0.063314 0.117586 0.236490 0.512802 1.188574 3.220276
2026-05-03 0.032655 0.060108 0.113708 0.233977 0.521833 1.251778 3.553127
2026-05-10 0.030534 0.057067 0.109849 0.230997 0.529242 1.312314 3.897942
2026-05-17 0.029388 0.055862 0.109638 0.236242 0.557989 1.436907 4.497696
2026-05-24 0.027563 0.053116 0.105908 0.232794 0.563797 1.498158 4.900454
2026-05-31 0.026194 0.051197 0.103769 0.232885 0.579057 1.590709 5.454223
2026-06-07 0.024923 0.049379 0.101678 0.232830 0.593951 1.685755 6.056978
2026-06-14 0.024151 0.048562 0.101737 0.238173 0.625060 1.839853 6.969269
2026-06-21 0.023297 0.047494 0.101117 0.241696 0.651570 1.985779 7.916211